As loyal readers will be aware, the data point of the Spanish race is always a marker in the sand in my mind. For whatever reason, the conclusion of the Spanish race generally sets my view on the teams future performance for the remains of the season. It would be interesting to understand why this is, but it seems to be a phenomena, albeit a helpful one.
I will write in more detail on the team’s individual analysis pages over the coming days, but it seems that my initial early season predictions are correlating to the list so far. Not sure how much longer this will hold out but I think the things to watch for are:
- can Red Bull consistently sort themselves out to fight for 2nd place with Ferrari? (Even though the targets in the model for Ferrari are for 1st)
- will Williams continue the depressed season? (On a side note I am ready Adrian Newey’s book and there are some interesting pieces of analysis of how the ‘casting’ and decisions are made. There is form for Williams making odd and self-inflicting wounds on the driver selection front)
Looking forwards Monaco is roulette for the data so I will relax until we have completed the Canadian event before anything more meaningful can be written up!